TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 1:47 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Wilva Chan and Aleksija Neskovic in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Wilva Chan' if Wilva Chan advances against Aleksija Neskovic. This market will resolve to 'Aleksija Neskovic' if Aleksija Neskovic advances against Wilva Chan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Wilva Chan and Aleksija Neskovic in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Wilva Chan' if Wilva Chan advances against Aleksija Neskovic. This market will resolve to 'Aleksija Neskovic' if Aleksija Neskovic advances against Wilva Chan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market aggregates insights from individuals with varying levels of expertise. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Examining these differences can reveal where the crowd thinks sportsbooks might be mispricing the event, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to new information or shifts in sentiment regarding the Wilva Chan vs Aleksija Neskovic match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wilva Chan vs Aleksija Neskovic match, as reported by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions for either Wilva Chan or Aleksija Neskovic could significantly impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even weather forecasts could also cause shifts in sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create momentum and drive price fluctuations, so monitoring trading volume is crucial. These events can all contribute to a changing assessment of the likely outcome.