TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 3:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vlada Pikhlik and Alexandra Bayuschenko in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vlada Pikhlik' if Vlada Pikhlik advances against Alexandra Bayuschenko. This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Bayuschenko' if Alexandra Bayuschenko advances against Vlada Pikhlik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vlada Pikhlik and Alexandra Bayuschenko in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vlada Pikhlik' if Vlada Pikhlik advances against Alexandra Bayuschenko. This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Bayuschenko' if Alexandra Bayuschenko advances against Vlada Pikhlik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the combined judgment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. This differs from fixed-odds betting where the odds are set in advance and do not change based on subsequent trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Vlada Pikhlik and Alexandra Bayuschenko. The winning player, as determined by the official tournament organizers, will dictate the outcome of this market. Any disputes or ambiguities regarding the official result will be addressed using publicly available information and established tennis rules, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either Pikhlik or Bayuschenko could also shift market sentiment. General tennis news, weather conditions at the tournament location, and even social media discussions surrounding the players could all contribute to price movements. Any developments that alter the perceived likelihood of either player winning are likely to be reflected in the market price.