TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 8:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Viktoriia Sedenkova and Anastasia Ganja in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Viktoriia Sedenkova' if Viktoriia Sedenkova advances against Anastasia Ganja. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Ganja' if Anastasia Ganja advances against Viktoriia Sedenkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Viktoriia Sedenkova and Anastasia Ganja in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Viktoriia Sedenkova' if Viktoriia Sedenkova advances against Anastasia Ganja. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Ganja' if Anastasia Ganja advances against Viktoriia Sedenkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different set of information and incentives than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If sportsbook odds significantly differ from those found on Polymarket, it could indicate disagreement about key factors influencing the match, such as player form, recent performance, or potential strategic advantages. Discrepancies can also arise from differing levels of information access and analytical approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Sedenkova vs Ganja match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in the market, and changes in volume or significant trades can quickly shift the odds. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sedenkova vs Ganja match, as determined by the governing body of the competition. Any disputes or official adjustments to the match result will be considered in the resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates and confirmation of the final outcome, as this will trigger settlement of the market on Polymarket.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could influence trader sentiment. Significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also impact the odds. Furthermore, large-volume trades on Polymarket by informed traders could indicate new information or a change in expectations, leading to price adjustments and volatility in the market.