TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 6:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Victoria Brand and Yuliya Perapekhina in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Victoria Brand' if Victoria Brand advances against Yuliya Perapekhina. This market will resolve to 'Yuliya Perapekhina' if Yuliya Perapekhina advances against Victoria Brand. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Victoria Brand and Yuliya Perapekhina in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Victoria Brand' if Victoria Brand advances against Yuliya Perapekhina. This market will resolve to 'Yuliya Perapekhina' if Yuliya Perapekhina advances against Victoria Brand. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as prediction markets can quickly incorporate new information and adjust accordingly. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise when assessing the probabilities of different outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a specific player, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand, meaning it’s a direct expression of what traders are willing to pay for exposure to the event’s outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match, determining which player ultimately won. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to verify the result and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official tournament results to understand when the market will be finalized and payouts will be distributed.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match performances, would likely cause shifts in the market. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location could also play a role, potentially favoring one player’s style of play over another. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of traders backing one player – could quickly move the price, reflecting a change in perceived probability. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential market movements.