TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 2:27 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vasilisa Kochkadaeva and Sophie Ray in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vasilisa Kochkadaeva' if Vasilisa Kochkadaeva advances against Sophie Ray. This market will resolve to 'Sophie Ray' if Sophie Ray advances against Vasilisa Kochkadaeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vasilisa Kochkadaeva and Sophie Ray in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vasilisa Kochkadaeva' if Vasilisa Kochkadaeva advances against Sophie Ray. This market will resolve to 'Sophie Ray' if Sophie Ray advances against Vasilisa Kochkadaeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants regarding the Kochkadaeva vs Ray match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Vasilisa Kochkadaeva and Sophie Ray. The platform will rely on established tennis data sources to determine the winner, and shares will be settled accordingly. The exact timing of resolution may depend on the speed at which official results are published, but it will occur shortly after the match concludes.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact sentiment. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by social media or expert analysis, could drive trading volume and price changes. Even seemingly minor developments, such as weather forecasts for the match location, could contribute to movement in this market leading up to Oct 11, 2026.