TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 2:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valeriia Derevyankina and Maryia Kolas in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valeriia Derevyankina' if Valeriia Derevyankina advances against Maryia Kolas. This market will resolve to 'Maryia Kolas' if Maryia Kolas advances against Valeriia Derevyankina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valeriia Derevyankina and Maryia Kolas in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valeriia Derevyankina' if Valeriia Derevyankina advances against Maryia Kolas. This market will resolve to 'Maryia Kolas' if Maryia Kolas advances against Valeriia Derevyankina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's likelihood. This creates a market-driven probability assessment, distinct from static odds offered elsewhere.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Valeriia Derevyankina and Maryia Kolas. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner of the match, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor official tennis news outlets for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also impact perceptions of player momentum and confidence. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could lead to increased volume and price adjustments. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential market movements before Oct 11, 2026.