TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 6:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valeriia Derevyankina and Chanel Janssen in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valeriia Derevyankina' if Valeriia Derevyankina advances against Chanel Janssen. This market will resolve to 'Chanel Janssen' if Chanel Janssen advances against Valeriia Derevyankina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valeriia Derevyankina and Chanel Janssen in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valeriia Derevyankina' if Valeriia Derevyankina advances against Chanel Janssen. This market will resolve to 'Chanel Janssen' if Chanel Janssen advances against Valeriia Derevyankina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market represents the collective belief of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one venue has more accurate information. It’s important to compare and contrast to form your own informed opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate for Valeriia Derevyankina winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price reflects the aggregated views of all participants, and can change rapidly as new information becomes available or as the match draws nearer. The current implied probability is not available.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Valeriia Derevyankina versus Chanel Janssen match in Sharm ElSheikh. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament records and reporting. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be eligible to receive their payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader tournament upsets, might also have an impact. Even seemingly minor details, such as weather forecasts for Sharm ElSheikh, could be considered by traders. As the match approaches, increased media coverage and analysis are also likely to contribute to price movement.