TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 6:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Teodora Vlajic and Liliya Piskun in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Teodora Vlajic' if Teodora Vlajic advances against Liliya Piskun. This market will resolve to 'Liliya Piskun' if Liliya Piskun advances against Teodora Vlajic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Teodora Vlajic and Liliya Piskun in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Teodora Vlajic' if Teodora Vlajic advances against Liliya Piskun. This market will resolve to 'Liliya Piskun' if Liliya Piskun advances against Teodora Vlajic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own independent beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that traders possess information or insights not fully incorporated into the sportsbook's pricing. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Vlajic vs Piskun match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is derived from the share price – a higher price suggests greater confidence in that outcome. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Teodora Vlajic and Liliya Piskun, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual match result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player, or broader tournament upsets, could also impact the market. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations, causing the price to move accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the perceived probability of each outcome.