TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:12 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Teodora Vlajic and Giulia Russo in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Teodora Vlajic' if Teodora Vlajic advances against Giulia Russo. This market will resolve to 'Giulia Russo' if Giulia Russo advances against Teodora Vlajic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Teodora Vlajic and Giulia Russo in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Teodora Vlajic' if Teodora Vlajic advances against Giulia Russo. This market will resolve to 'Giulia Russo' if Giulia Russo advances against Teodora Vlajic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Polymarket, potentially driving the prediction market odds closer to what they perceive as the true probability. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that the price can fluctuate rapidly based on new information or shifts in sentiment, creating opportunities for informed traders to profit from perceived mispricings. The current volume traded is $2,840.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Teodora Vlajic versus Giulia Russo match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by which player wins the match. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result, as determined by the platform’s verification process. This allows for a transparent and reliable resolution of the market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event, or even commentary from tennis analysts, could also shift the odds. Major shifts in betting volume on Polymarket would also be a strong indicator of changing expectations. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning has the potential to impact the market.