TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 6:50 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sveva Pieroni and Tamina Kochta in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sveva Pieroni' if Sveva Pieroni advances against Tamina Kochta. This market will resolve to 'Tamina Kochta' if Tamina Kochta advances against Sveva Pieroni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sveva Pieroni and Tamina Kochta in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sveva Pieroni' if Sveva Pieroni advances against Tamina Kochta. This market will resolve to 'Tamina Kochta' if Tamina Kochta advances against Sveva Pieroni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly betting on the outcome. If a significant difference emerges, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and discrepancies can simply reflect differing opinions or information available to each.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, providing a real-time assessment of the likely winner of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match. The market’s price movements are driven by new information and changing opinions.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Sveva Pieroni and Tamina Kochta. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning player. The outcome will be determined by which player is officially declared the winner of the match, as reported by these sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact their perceived chances of winning. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements. Public opinion and analysis from tennis experts might also play a role, although the market ultimately reflects the collective judgment of traders on Polymarket.