TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 3:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sveva Pieroni and Nisa Vuap in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sveva Pieroni' if Sveva Pieroni advances against Nisa Vuap. This market will resolve to 'Nisa Vuap' if Nisa Vuap advances against Sveva Pieroni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sveva Pieroni and Nisa Vuap in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sveva Pieroni' if Sveva Pieroni advances against Nisa Vuap. This market will resolve to 'Nisa Vuap' if Nisa Vuap advances against Sveva Pieroni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution for each possible result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome will occur, the higher the share price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated insights of all participants, providing a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sveva Pieroni versus Nisa Vuap tennis match in Sharm ElSheikh. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The exact timing of resolution may depend on the speed of official result publication.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface), or updated player rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also influence perceptions of their form and ability. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding the evolving probabilities reflected in this market.