TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 1:46 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Martianova and Zuzanna Bednarz in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Martianova' if Sofia Martianova advances against Zuzanna Bednarz. This market will resolve to 'Zuzanna Bednarz' if Zuzanna Bednarz advances against Sofia Martianova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Martianova and Zuzanna Bednarz in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Martianova' if Sofia Martianova advances against Zuzanna Bednarz. This market will resolve to 'Zuzanna Bednarz' if Zuzanna Bednarz advances against Sofia Martianova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, you may see divergence between the two. It’s common to observe that prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook odds, especially when considering long-term performance and incorporating new information quickly.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, while increased selling pressure lowers it. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Sofia Martianova and Zuzanna Bednarz, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player, or updates on their physical condition, would likely cause price adjustments. Furthermore, broader tennis news or analysis from respected commentators could also impact trading activity. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market leading up to Nov 4, 2026.