TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 1:49 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Alekseeva and Valeriia Derevyankina in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Alekseeva' if Sofia Alekseeva advances against Valeriia Derevyankina. This market will resolve to 'Valeriia Derevyankina' if Valeriia Derevyankina advances against Sofia Alekseeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Alekseeva and Valeriia Derevyankina in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Alekseeva' if Sofia Alekseeva advances against Valeriia Derevyankina. This market will resolve to 'Valeriia Derevyankina' if Valeriia Derevyankina advances against Sofia Alekseeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals wagering their own capital. Therefore, differences can emerge based on factors not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms, such as late-breaking news or subtle player form changes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially in niche events like this one, as prediction markets can incorporate a wider range of information and viewpoints.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Sofia Alekseeva and Valeriia Derevyankina, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and the outcome will be settled accordingly. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and therefore move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly shift expectations. Additionally, large trades by influential market participants could create momentum and impact the price of shares. Public sentiment and analysis from tennis experts could also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.