TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 6:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rikke De Koning and Anja Wildgruber in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rikke De Koning' if Rikke De Koning advances against Anja Wildgruber. This market will resolve to 'Anja Wildgruber' if Anja Wildgruber advances against Rikke De Koning. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rikke De Koning and Anja Wildgruber in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rikke De Koning' if Rikke De Koning advances against Anja Wildgruber. This market will resolve to 'Anja Wildgruber' if Anja Wildgruber advances against Rikke De Koning. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and may adjust them based on betting action, but they also incorporate a profit margin. This market, driven by individual traders on Polymarket, aims to represent the collective belief about the probability of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each market. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome in the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s price discovery process allows for a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results, based on the collective intelligence of the participants.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Rikke De Koning vs Anja Wildgruber tennis match in Sharm ElSheikh. The platform will verify the winner through official tournament results and reporting. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will not. The exact timing of the resolution may depend on the speed of official result publication.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Rikke De Koning or Anja Wildgruber, or changes in playing conditions (weather, court surface) could shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players leading up to the event might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed individuals or groups could cause significant price movements. Monitoring tennis news and following player updates will be key to understanding potential catalysts for shifts in this market.