TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:41 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Rhea Arora and Ema Harajda in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rhea Arora' if Rhea Arora advances against Ema Harajda. This market will resolve to 'Ema Harajda' if Ema Harajda advances against Rhea Arora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rhea Arora and Ema Harajda in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rhea Arora' if Rhea Arora advances against Ema Harajda. This market will resolve to 'Ema Harajda' if Ema Harajda advances against Rhea Arora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. The market's efficiency relies on active participation and the incorporation of new information by traders. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated assessment of the likely result of the Arora vs Harajda match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Rhea Arora and Ema Harajda. This includes verifying the match winner through official tournament results and sources. The platform will use these publicly available records to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probability of each player winning. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts affecting play, could also trigger movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a shift in sentiment. Monitoring tennis news and following player updates will be key to understanding potential catalysts for price changes in this market.