TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 6:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Radka Zelnickova and Jian Ibrahim in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Radka Zelnickova' if Radka Zelnickova advances against Jian Ibrahim. This market will resolve to 'Jian Ibrahim' if Jian Ibrahim advances against Radka Zelnickova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Radka Zelnickova and Jian Ibrahim in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Radka Zelnickova' if Radka Zelnickova advances against Jian Ibrahim. This market will resolve to 'Jian Ibrahim' if Jian Ibrahim advances against Radka Zelnickova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the varying incentives of participants. Comparing the odds can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making, but it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees of the final result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current trading volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding this match.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Radka Zelnickova versus Jian Ibrahim match, as reported by the governing body of the sport. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to the platform’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. The final outcome will determine which shares pay out and at what value.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 29, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about either athlete's preparation or performance could also cause significant movement. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, might also play a role, influencing traders’ beliefs and driving price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into the evolving dynamics of this market.