TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 5:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Radka Zelnickova and Alisa Vasileva in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Radka Zelnickova' if Radka Zelnickova advances against Alisa Vasileva. This market will resolve to 'Alisa Vasileva' if Alisa Vasileva advances against Radka Zelnickova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Radka Zelnickova and Alisa Vasileva in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Radka Zelnickova' if Radka Zelnickova advances against Alisa Vasileva. This market will resolve to 'Alisa Vasileva' if Alisa Vasileva advances against Radka Zelnickova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is not influenced by external factors or other prediction markets.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Zelnickova vs Vasileva match, as declared by the governing tennis organization. The platform will verify the result against widely available and reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Radka Zelnickova or Alisa Vasileva, or changes in playing conditions could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event might also shift expectations. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could indicate informed opinions and trigger price movements. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market.