TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 8:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Polina Kuharenko and Zuzanna Bednarz in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Polina Kuharenko' if Polina Kuharenko advances against Zuzanna Bednarz. This market will resolve to 'Zuzanna Bednarz' if Zuzanna Bednarz advances against Polina Kuharenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Polina Kuharenko and Zuzanna Bednarz in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Polina Kuharenko' if Polina Kuharenko advances against Zuzanna Bednarz. This market will resolve to 'Zuzanna Bednarz' if Zuzanna Bednarz advances against Polina Kuharenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kuharenko vs Bednarz match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate for each possible result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants trading on Polymarket, and changes rapidly as new information becomes available or opinions shift. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Polina Kuharenko and Zuzanna Bednarz. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and reporting to determine the winning share(s) in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Nov 6, 2026. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could all significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving either player could also shift sentiment. Even broader factors, such as weather forecasts for Sharm ElSheikh, or major shifts in public opinion regarding either player’s chances, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.