TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 5:27 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Miroslava Medvedeva and Iliia Dashkevich in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miroslava Medvedeva' if Miroslava Medvedeva advances against Iliia Dashkevich. This market will resolve to 'Iliia Dashkevich' if Iliia Dashkevich advances against Miroslava Medvedeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Miroslava Medvedeva and Iliia Dashkevich in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miroslava Medvedeva' if Miroslava Medvedeva advances against Iliia Dashkevich. This market will resolve to 'Iliia Dashkevich' if Iliia Dashkevich advances against Miroslava Medvedeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may adjust less quickly to new information or shifts in public opinion. This market, driven by traders on Polymarket, can incorporate a wider range of perspectives and react more dynamically to breaking news or unexpected developments. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as the event approaches and more information surfaces, potentially offering value to informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate for each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the collective judgment of all participants, and can be seen as a real-time forecast of the event’s outcome. The more traders believe a particular outcome will occur, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Miroslava Medvedeva and Iliia Dashkevich. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament results and sports news outlets. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or changes in their ranking, could also impact market sentiment. Furthermore, major announcements related to the tournament itself, such as weather forecasts or alterations to the schedule, could prompt traders to reassess their positions. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning has the potential to move the market.