TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 9:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mija Ljubic and Mariia Nozdrachova in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mija Ljubic' if Mija Ljubic advances against Mariia Nozdrachova. This market will resolve to 'Mariia Nozdrachova' if Mariia Nozdrachova advances against Mija Ljubic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mija Ljubic and Mariia Nozdrachova in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mija Ljubic' if Mija Ljubic advances against Mariia Nozdrachova. This market will resolve to 'Mariia Nozdrachova' if Mariia Nozdrachova advances against Mija Ljubic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Ljubic vs Nozdrachova match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Mija Ljubic and Mariia Nozdrachova. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result of the match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed individuals or groups could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading patterns on Polymarket will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the Nov 2, 2026 resolution.