TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 7:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mia Wainwright and Sveva Pieroni in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mia Wainwright' if Mia Wainwright advances against Sveva Pieroni. This market will resolve to 'Sveva Pieroni' if Sveva Pieroni advances against Mia Wainwright. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mia Wainwright and Sveva Pieroni in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mia Wainwright' if Mia Wainwright advances against Sveva Pieroni. This market will resolve to 'Sveva Pieroni' if Sveva Pieroni advances against Mia Wainwright. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can influence the price here, potentially creating a divergence. It’s common to see this market incorporate information and perspectives not immediately reflected in traditional betting lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the Wainwright-Pieroni match. The current volume indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding this event.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wainwright-Pieroni match as declared by the governing tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 14, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or personal matters affecting either Mia Wainwright or Sveva Pieroni could also cause movement. Furthermore, early results from other matches in the tournament, or changes in overall tournament standings, might indirectly impact how traders assess the likelihood of either player winning the Wainwright-Pieroni match.