TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 10:59 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marylee Longpre and Emilia Carlotta Brune in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marylee Longpre' if Marylee Longpre advances against Emilia Carlotta Brune. This market will resolve to 'Emilia Carlotta Brune' if Emilia Carlotta Brune advances against Marylee Longpre. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marylee Longpre and Emilia Carlotta Brune in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marylee Longpre' if Marylee Longpre advances against Emilia Carlotta Brune. This market will resolve to 'Emilia Carlotta Brune' if Emilia Carlotta Brune advances against Marylee Longpre. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the collective belief of individuals willing to put their money behind their predictions. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can be insightful, but remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees of the final result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a specific player, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available, leading to dynamic price adjustments based on the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match, determining which player ultimately wins. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement. Traders holding shares in the winning player will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing player will not.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts affecting the match schedule, might also cause shifts in trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and any updates on player strategies could also contribute to changes in this market as traders adjust their predictions based on new information.