TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 7:45 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Shmeleva and Ema Harajda in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Shmeleva' if Maria Shmeleva advances against Ema Harajda. This market will resolve to 'Ema Harajda' if Ema Harajda advances against Maria Shmeleva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Shmeleva and Ema Harajda in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Shmeleva' if Maria Shmeleva advances against Ema Harajda. This market will resolve to 'Ema Harajda' if Ema Harajda advances against Maria Shmeleva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Shmeleva vs Harajda match. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the match’s potential results. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Maria Shmeleva and Ema Harajda, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result. The market will close and settle shortly after the official result is available.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations. Monitoring tennis news and observing the market’s volume and price movements will be key to understanding how this market evolves until resolution.