TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 2:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Magdalena Bresson and Lauryn Jacobs in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Magdalena Bresson' if Magdalena Bresson advances against Lauryn Jacobs. This market will resolve to 'Lauryn Jacobs' if Lauryn Jacobs advances against Magdalena Bresson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Magdalena Bresson and Lauryn Jacobs in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Magdalena Bresson' if Magdalena Bresson advances against Lauryn Jacobs. This market will resolve to 'Lauryn Jacobs' if Lauryn Jacobs advances against Magdalena Bresson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability of a particular player winning is reflected in the share price, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that outcome. The total volume traded provides insight into how many participants are actively engaging with this market.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The platform will rely on official tournament results to determine the winner, and the market will settle accordingly. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting play, might also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could signal new information entering the market, potentially leading to a reassessment of the probabilities surrounding the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match.