TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 5:27 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ksenia Meshcheryakova and YA-CHUN CHEN in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ksenia Meshcheryakova' if Ksenia Meshcheryakova advances against YA-CHUN CHEN. This market will resolve to 'YA-CHUN CHEN' if YA-CHUN CHEN advances against Ksenia Meshcheryakova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ksenia Meshcheryakova and YA-CHUN CHEN in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ksenia Meshcheryakova' if Ksenia Meshcheryakova advances against YA-CHUN CHEN. This market will resolve to 'YA-CHUN CHEN' if YA-CHUN CHEN advances against Ksenia Meshcheryakova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within each venue. Analyzing these differences can reveal opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in that outcome. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the match's likely result.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the Ksenia Meshcheryakova vs YA-CHUN CHEN match, as reported by the governing tennis organization. Any potential disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered, but the initial official declaration will serve as the primary basis for settlement. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Nov 2, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could all impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about player form, coaching changes, or strategic adjustments could also trigger movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can sometimes create short-term volatility, reflecting a change in sentiment or access to new information. Monitoring these signals is crucial for traders seeking to capitalize on market fluctuations.