TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 6:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ksenia Meshcheryakova and Tamina Kochta in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ksenia Meshcheryakova' if Ksenia Meshcheryakova advances against Tamina Kochta. This market will resolve to 'Tamina Kochta' if Tamina Kochta advances against Ksenia Meshcheryakova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ksenia Meshcheryakova and Tamina Kochta in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ksenia Meshcheryakova' if Ksenia Meshcheryakova advances against Tamina Kochta. This market will resolve to 'Tamina Kochta' if Tamina Kochta advances against Ksenia Meshcheryakova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or late-developing insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is determined by the share price relative to a potential payout of 1 USDC.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ksenia Meshcheryakova vs Tamina Kochta match as reported by the governing tennis organization. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in tennis rankings, may also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, causing the market to react accordingly. Public opinion and expert analysis, while not directly reflected in the market, could also indirectly influence trader behavior.