TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 8:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kate Bierhoff and Parneet Kaur in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kate Bierhoff' if Kate Bierhoff advances against Parneet Kaur. This market will resolve to 'Parneet Kaur' if Parneet Kaur advances against Kate Bierhoff. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kate Bierhoff and Parneet Kaur in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kate Bierhoff' if Kate Bierhoff advances against Parneet Kaur. This market will resolve to 'Parneet Kaur' if Parneet Kaur advances against Kate Bierhoff. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and public perception, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. This can lead to discrepancies, and sometimes, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional odds, especially when accounting for information not fully reflected in sportsbook models.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective intelligence of the market participants. Currently, the most favored outcome, as indicated by share prices, is the match being completed, although prices can change rapidly.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Kate Bierhoff and Parneet Kaur is officially completed according to tournament rules and published results. The platform will rely on official tournament data to determine the winner, or if the match was not completed, to confirm that outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Kate Bierhoff or Parneet Kaur, or changes in weather conditions at the Sharm ElSheikh tournament could all trigger movement. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might also affect trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed participants could quickly alter the price of shares and reflect new insights into the likely outcome of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match.