TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 11:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jian Ibrahim and Sofiia Suslova in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jian Ibrahim' if Jian Ibrahim advances against Sofiia Suslova. This market will resolve to 'Sofiia Suslova' if Sofiia Suslova advances against Jian Ibrahim. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jian Ibrahim and Sofiia Suslova in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jian Ibrahim' if Jian Ibrahim advances against Sofiia Suslova. This market will resolve to 'Sofiia Suslova' if Sofiia Suslova advances against Jian Ibrahim. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public opinion strongly favors one outcome. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise in assessing the overall probabilities and identifying potential value, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where shares representing each possible outcome are bought and sold. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the traders. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect new information and changing beliefs. The market's efficiency depends on the number of participants and the volume of trading, allowing for a dynamic assessment of the match's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Jian Ibrahim and Sofiia Suslova. The platform will verify the winner through sources like official tournament websites and sports news outlets. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome, reflecting the actual result of the competition.
Several factors could influence trading in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even comments from analysts, could also impact the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and betting trends, can also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match has the potential to move this market.