TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 8:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Iva Marinkovic and Ustiniya Lekomtseva in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iva Marinkovic' if Iva Marinkovic advances against Ustiniya Lekomtseva. This market will resolve to 'Ustiniya Lekomtseva' if Ustiniya Lekomtseva advances against Iva Marinkovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Iva Marinkovic and Ustiniya Lekomtseva in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iva Marinkovic' if Iva Marinkovic advances against Ustiniya Lekomtseva. This market will resolve to 'Ustiniya Lekomtseva' if Ustiniya Lekomtseva advances against Iva Marinkovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can differ from sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market represents the probability assigned by individuals willing to put their capital at risk. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into public perception and potential value opportunities.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Iva Marinkovic and Ustiniya Lekomtseva. The winner of the match, as determined by official tournament organizers, will be the outcome reflected in the market's resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in tennis rankings, could also impact the market. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, leading to price adjustments before Oct 23, 2026.