TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 1:47 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Iana Skorobogatova and Giulia Russo in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iana Skorobogatova' if Iana Skorobogatova advances against Giulia Russo. This market will resolve to 'Giulia Russo' if Giulia Russo advances against Iana Skorobogatova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Iana Skorobogatova and Giulia Russo in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iana Skorobogatova' if Iana Skorobogatova advances against Giulia Russo. This market will resolve to 'Giulia Russo' if Giulia Russo advances against Iana Skorobogatova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, and traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the result. The current volume of trading in this market is $150.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Iana Skorobogatova and Giulia Russo. The platform will verify the winner based on official tournament results and reporting. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their holdings in the market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause noticeable price movements, reflecting a change in collective belief about the likely winner of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match.