TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 6:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Emira Diabate and Alessandra Fiorillo in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emira Diabate' if Emira Diabate advances against Alessandra Fiorillo. This market will resolve to 'Alessandra Fiorillo' if Alessandra Fiorillo advances against Emira Diabate. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Emira Diabate and Alessandra Fiorillo in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emira Diabate' if Emira Diabate advances against Alessandra Fiorillo. This market will resolve to 'Alessandra Fiorillo' if Alessandra Fiorillo advances against Emira Diabate. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading. If significant differences emerge between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the crowd believes there's value in a particular outcome that sportsbooks haven't fully priced in.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Diabate vs Fiorillo match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Diabate vs Fiorillo match, as declared by the governing sports organization. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes in coaching strategies could all have an impact. Pre-match analysis from sports commentators and experts could also sway trader sentiment. Unexpected developments leading up to the match, such as weather conditions or venue changes, might also cause fluctuations. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to move this market.