TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 3:19 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ema Harajda and Ioana Stefania Boian in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ema Harajda' if Ema Harajda advances against Ioana Stefania Boian. This market will resolve to 'Ioana Stefania Boian' if Ioana Stefania Boian advances against Ema Harajda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ema Harajda and Ioana Stefania Boian in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ema Harajda' if Ema Harajda advances against Ioana Stefania Boian. This market will resolve to 'Ioana Stefania Boian' if Ioana Stefania Boian advances against Ema Harajda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the valuation. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system that attempts to reflect the collective intelligence of the participants.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Ema Harajda and Ioana Stefania Boian. The platform will rely on widely accepted and publicly available sources to determine the winner. Any disputes will be handled according to the platform’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader tournament upsets, might also impact the perceived probabilities. Public sentiment and analysis from tennis experts could also play a role, influencing trader behavior. Finally, large trades by individual participants could cause short-term price fluctuations, although sustained movement typically requires broader shifts in market belief.