TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 9:24 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dune Vaissaud and Kamilla Bartone in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dune Vaissaud' if Dune Vaissaud advances against Kamilla Bartone. This market will resolve to 'Kamilla Bartone' if Kamilla Bartone advances against Dune Vaissaud. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dune Vaissaud and Kamilla Bartone in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dune Vaissaud' if Dune Vaissaud advances against Kamilla Bartone. This market will resolve to 'Kamilla Bartone' if Kamilla Bartone advances against Dune Vaissaud. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it might indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has a more informed or active trading base. It's important to note that these are independent assessments of the same event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a specific outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly adjusting to new information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Vaissaud vs Bartone match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result to understand when the market will be finalized and settled.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. For example, a report of a minor injury to one of the players would likely increase the probability of their opponent winning. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in sentiment and cause the market to move rapidly. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing trading activity are key to understanding potential catalysts.