TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 12:39 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dune Vaissaud and Anastasia Zhilina in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dune Vaissaud' if Dune Vaissaud advances against Anastasia Zhilina. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Zhilina' if Anastasia Zhilina advances against Dune Vaissaud. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dune Vaissaud and Anastasia Zhilina in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dune Vaissaud' if Dune Vaissaud advances against Anastasia Zhilina. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Zhilina' if Anastasia Zhilina advances against Dune Vaissaud. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information, though that isn’t always the case.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Vaissaud-Zhilina match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the match's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Sharm ElSheikh match between Dune Vaissaud and Anastasia Zhilina. The platform will verify the result against established tennis score reporting sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual match winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift market sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis tournament results, might also play a role. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and commentators could also influence trading activity, as could significant bets placed by informed traders on Polymarket.