TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 2:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria PASHKEVICH and Verona Freigassner in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria PASHKEVICH' if Daria PASHKEVICH advances against Verona Freigassner. This market will resolve to 'Verona Freigassner' if Verona Freigassner advances against Daria PASHKEVICH. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria PASHKEVICH and Verona Freigassner in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria PASHKEVICH' if Daria PASHKEVICH advances against Verona Freigassner. This market will resolve to 'Verona Freigassner' if Verona Freigassner advances against Daria PASHKEVICH. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. Comparing the odds can reveal where the market believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating the likelihood of a particular outcome in the PASHKEVICH vs Freigassner match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants and adjusts in real-time based on new information and changing sentiment regarding the PASHKEVICH vs Freigassner match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Sharm ElSheikh match between Daria PASHKEVICH and Verona Freigassner. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the tournament itself, such as schedule changes or venue modifications, might also have an impact. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a shift in expectations regarding the PASHKEVICH vs Freigassner match. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the evolving probabilities and potential trading opportunities.