TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 10:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Chanel Janssen and Manon Favier in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chanel Janssen' if Chanel Janssen advances against Manon Favier. This market will resolve to 'Manon Favier' if Manon Favier advances against Chanel Janssen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Chanel Janssen and Manon Favier in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chanel Janssen' if Chanel Janssen advances against Manon Favier. This market will resolve to 'Manon Favier' if Manon Favier advances against Chanel Janssen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probabilities of each player winning. If there's a significant difference between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it might suggest an opportunity for value betting, but remember that both represent forecasts, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, and the implied probability rises accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available, resulting in dynamic price adjustments. This mechanism allows the market to aggregate diverse opinions and produce a forecast that is often more accurate than individual predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match, determining which player, Chanel Janssen or Manon Favier, emerges as the victor. The platform will verify the result against official tournament records and widely accepted sports news sources. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, providing clarity on the market's outcome once the match concludes and the official results are published.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 14, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also cause traders to reassess their predictions. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, though the market ultimately relies on objective information to determine the most likely outcome of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match.