TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 3:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carola Cavelli and Milla Kotamaki in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carola Cavelli' if Carola Cavelli advances against Milla Kotamaki. This market will resolve to 'Milla Kotamaki' if Milla Kotamaki advances against Carola Cavelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carola Cavelli and Milla Kotamaki in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carola Cavelli' if Carola Cavelli advances against Milla Kotamaki. This market will resolve to 'Milla Kotamaki' if Milla Kotamaki advances against Carola Cavelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by new information and changing opinions. As more traders participate, the price tends to converge towards a more accurate reflection of the true probability of the event.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the W15 Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Carola Cavelli and Milla Kotamaki. Any disputes regarding the official result will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could all shift market sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving either player might also impact perceived probabilities. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could cause significant price movements. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential catalysts for price changes in this market.