TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 2:27 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carola Cavelli and Marina Tawdrws in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carola Cavelli' if Carola Cavelli advances against Marina Tawdrws. This market will resolve to 'Marina Tawdrws' if Marina Tawdrws advances against Carola Cavelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carola Cavelli and Marina Tawdrws in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carola Cavelli' if Carola Cavelli advances against Marina Tawdrws. This market will resolve to 'Marina Tawdrws' if Marina Tawdrws advances against Carola Cavelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. If a significant disparity exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it may indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Cavelli vs Tawdrws match. This can be due to factors like differing information sources, or varying levels of expertise among bettors and market participants. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Cavelli vs Tawdrws match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. This creates a market-driven forecast, influenced by the collective wisdom of the crowd and their interpretation of relevant factors.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cavelli vs Tawdrws match as reported by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. This ensures a transparent and reliable resolution process.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions affecting the match could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or fitness would likely cause a rapid adjustment in the odds. Public statements from analysts or experts offering strong opinions on the likely winner could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could also indirectly impact this market as information spreads and traders react.