TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aya El Sayed and Kristina Dmitruk in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aya El Sayed' if Aya El Sayed advances against Kristina Dmitruk. This market will resolve to 'Kristina Dmitruk' if Kristina Dmitruk advances against Aya El Sayed. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aya El Sayed and Kristina Dmitruk in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aya El Sayed' if Aya El Sayed advances against Kristina Dmitruk. This market will resolve to 'Kristina Dmitruk' if Kristina Dmitruk advances against Aya El Sayed. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates predictions from individuals with varying levels of knowledge. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of prediction markets as new information emerges. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. This dynamic pricing allows the market to incorporate new information and adapt to changing circumstances, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than static odds.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Aya El Sayed versus Kristina Dmitruk tennis match in Sharm ElSheikh. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official tournament results to understand how this market will ultimately settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. For example, reports of Aya El Sayed experiencing a minor injury or Kristina Dmitruk having a particularly strong performance in a preceding match could cause the odds to move. Unexpected weather conditions in Sharm ElSheikh could also play a role, impacting playing style and potentially influencing the outcome. Overall match analysis and expert predictions will also contribute to price fluctuations.