TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:47 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Antonina Sushkova and Yuliya Perapekhina in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Antonina Sushkova' if Antonina Sushkova advances against Yuliya Perapekhina. This market will resolve to 'Yuliya Perapekhina' if Yuliya Perapekhina advances against Antonina Sushkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Antonina Sushkova and Yuliya Perapekhina in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Antonina Sushkova' if Antonina Sushkova advances against Yuliya Perapekhina. This market will resolve to 'Yuliya Perapekhina' if Yuliya Perapekhina advances against Antonina Sushkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s odds are driven by actual money being wagered. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players’ chances. Analyzing these differences can be insightful, but remember that both represent probabilities of the same event occurring, and neither guarantees an accurate prediction.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts accordingly, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders on Polymarket regarding the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Antonina Sushkova and Yuliya Perapekhina, as declared by the tournament organizers. The winning player, as officially recorded, will determine the outcome of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions in Sharm ElSheikh, or reports on the players’ recent performance in other matches, could also impact the odds. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could create short-term price movements, reflecting their assessment of the evolving probabilities surrounding the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match.