TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 8:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Roots and Carola Cavelli in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Roots' if Andrea Roots advances against Carola Cavelli. This market will resolve to 'Carola Cavelli' if Carola Cavelli advances against Andrea Roots. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Roots and Carola Cavelli in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Roots' if Andrea Roots advances against Carola Cavelli. This market will resolve to 'Carola Cavelli' if Carola Cavelli advances against Andrea Roots. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to dynamically adjust probabilities based on new information and collective belief. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new developments emerge leading up to the event. Comparing these odds can offer insights into where public opinion diverges from professional analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand – if more traders believe Andrea Roots will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match, determining which player ultimately won. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts at the Sharm ElSheikh venue or even pre-match interviews revealing strategic insights could also cause price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning has the potential to impact trading activity.