TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 3:29 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasia Zhilina and Natalie Velits in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Zhilina' if Anastasia Zhilina advances against Natalie Velits. This market will resolve to 'Natalie Velits' if Natalie Velits advances against Anastasia Zhilina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasia Zhilina and Natalie Velits in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Zhilina' if Anastasia Zhilina advances against Natalie Velits. This market will resolve to 'Natalie Velits' if Natalie Velits advances against Anastasia Zhilina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Zhilina vs Velits match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. This creates a fluid and responsive market where opinions are constantly updated and reflected in the share price.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Anastasia Zhilina and Natalie Velits. The platform will verify the results against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Updates on the players’ recent performance in other tournaments, or analysis from tennis experts, could also impact the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the W15 Sharm ElSheikh event could also play a role, potentially favoring one player over the other. Increased trading volume in the final hours before the match is likely as traders react to the latest information and refine their predictions.