TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 2:19 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alyssa Reguer and Victoria Pohle in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alyssa Reguer' if Alyssa Reguer advances against Victoria Pohle. This market will resolve to 'Victoria Pohle' if Victoria Pohle advances against Alyssa Reguer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alyssa Reguer and Victoria Pohle in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alyssa Reguer' if Alyssa Reguer advances against Victoria Pohle. This market will resolve to 'Victoria Pohle' if Victoria Pohle advances against Alyssa Reguer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the most likely outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct. Analyzing the difference can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform. The current price indicates the market’s assessment of the likelihood of a specific player winning the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Alyssa Reguer and Victoria Pohle. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome, reflecting the actual result of the competition.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift the odds. For example, if one player is reported to be unwell or has recently suffered a minor injury, traders might decrease their confidence in that player's chances of winning. Unexpected weather conditions at the Sharm ElSheikh tournament could also play a role. General shifts in public opinion or analysis from tennis experts could also impact trading volume and price movements in this market.