TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 8:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alyssa Reguer and Joody Elkady in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alyssa Reguer' if Alyssa Reguer advances against Joody Elkady. This market will resolve to 'Joody Elkady' if Joody Elkady advances against Alyssa Reguer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alyssa Reguer and Joody Elkady in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alyssa Reguer' if Alyssa Reguer advances against Joody Elkady. This market will resolve to 'Joody Elkady' if Joody Elkady advances against Alyssa Reguer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market incorporates insights from many participants. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially early in the market's life cycle, as prediction markets can react quickly to new information and shifts in sentiment. Examining these differences can be a useful exercise for anyone interested in the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the latest information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match, as declared by the tournament organizers. Any potential disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered, but the final decision will rely on widely accepted and publicly available information. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could all impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also cause traders to reassess their positions. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term volatility and price swings, so monitoring the trading volume is crucial.