TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 1:49 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alisa Ziatdinova and Nina Rudiukova in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alisa Ziatdinova' if Alisa Ziatdinova advances against Nina Rudiukova. This market will resolve to 'Nina Rudiukova' if Nina Rudiukova advances against Alisa Ziatdinova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alisa Ziatdinova and Nina Rudiukova in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alisa Ziatdinova' if Alisa Ziatdinova advances against Nina Rudiukova. This market will resolve to 'Nina Rudiukova' if Nina Rudiukova advances against Alisa Ziatdinova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to represent the true probability of an outcome, though biases can still exist. It's common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing these odds can provide a broader understanding of the potential outcomes and highlight where discrepancies in opinion lie.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, ultimately reflecting the collective prediction of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches, offering a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Sharm ElSheikh match between Alisa Ziatdinova and Nina Rudiukova. The platform will rely on established tennis data sources to determine the winner and settle the market accordingly. It's important to note that the resolution process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available information, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even shifts in public perception could impact trading activity. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in women’s tennis, might also cause traders to reassess their predictions. Significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could also signal a change in market sentiment and lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into how the market is evolving and potential opportunities for informed trading.