TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 8:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alisa Ziatdinova and Mariam Gabr in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alisa Ziatdinova' if Alisa Ziatdinova advances against Mariam Gabr. This market will resolve to 'Mariam Gabr' if Mariam Gabr advances against Alisa Ziatdinova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alisa Ziatdinova and Mariam Gabr in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alisa Ziatdinova' if Alisa Ziatdinova advances against Mariam Gabr. This market will resolve to 'Mariam Gabr' if Mariam Gabr advances against Alisa Ziatdinova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market relies on individuals freely trading based on their own analysis. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or unexpected developments related to the players.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W15 Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Alisa Ziatdinova and Mariam Gabr. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement process. Traders should monitor official tennis news outlets for updates as the resolution date approaches, as this will influence the final outcome of this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results for either Ziatdinova or Gabr, would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions at the tournament location could also influence the odds, as certain players may perform better in specific conditions. Unexpected withdrawals from the tournament or alterations to the match schedule could also lead to shifts in the market, as traders adjust their expectations based on the evolving circumstances surrounding the event.