TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 2:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alisa Terentyeva and Victoria Kapcia in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alisa Terentyeva' if Alisa Terentyeva advances against Victoria Kapcia. This market will resolve to 'Victoria Kapcia' if Victoria Kapcia advances against Alisa Terentyeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alisa Terentyeva and Victoria Kapcia in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alisa Terentyeva' if Alisa Terentyeva advances against Victoria Kapcia. This market will resolve to 'Victoria Kapcia' if Victoria Kapcia advances against Alisa Terentyeva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective predictions of traders. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is underrating a player’s chances, they can buy shares in that outcome, driving up the price and reflecting that belief. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players’ form and potential. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, especially when a large volume of trading occurs.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. A higher price indicates greater confidence in that outcome, while a lower price suggests less confidence. The market’s efficiency relies on informed traders and active participation, driving the price towards a fair representation of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Alisa Terentyeva and Victoria Kapcia. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and reports from reputable sports news sources. The market will then pay out to the shares corresponding to the winning player, reflecting the final outcome of the match. Traders should monitor official sources for the definitive result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches featuring these players could also impact their perceived chances of winning. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed traders could signal new information or a change in expectations. Monitoring sports news and analyzing player statistics will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could move this market before the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match concludes.