TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 10:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adaugo Ukaegbu and Vanesa Salaiova in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adaugo Ukaegbu' if Adaugo Ukaegbu advances against Vanesa Salaiova. This market will resolve to 'Vanesa Salaiova' if Vanesa Salaiova advances against Adaugo Ukaegbu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adaugo Ukaegbu and Vanesa Salaiova in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adaugo Ukaegbu' if Adaugo Ukaegbu advances against Vanesa Salaiova. This market will resolve to 'Vanesa Salaiova' if Vanesa Salaiova advances against Adaugo Ukaegbu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb. This creates a dynamic pricing system driven by supply and demand, reflecting the aggregated predictions of those trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Adaugo Ukaegbu and Vanesa Salaiova, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will then determine the winning outcome based on this official result, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to those who correctly predicted the winner of the match. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions in Sharm ElSheikh, if they impact playing conditions, might also cause movement. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion or analysis from tennis experts could also lead to changes in the market price. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could also indicate new information or a change in expectations, causing the odds to adjust accordingly.