TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 3:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adaugo Ukaegbu and Lauryn Jacobs in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adaugo Ukaegbu' if Adaugo Ukaegbu advances against Lauryn Jacobs. This market will resolve to 'Lauryn Jacobs' if Lauryn Jacobs advances against Adaugo Ukaegbu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adaugo Ukaegbu and Lauryn Jacobs in the W15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adaugo Ukaegbu' if Adaugo Ukaegbu advances against Lauryn Jacobs. This market will resolve to 'Lauryn Jacobs' if Lauryn Jacobs advances against Adaugo Ukaegbu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand, meaning that the collective judgment of traders dictates the odds. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Adaugo Ukaegbu and Lauryn Jacobs. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact the perceived likelihood of either player winning. Major upsets in the tournament leading up to this match might cause traders to reassess their predictions. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could quickly move the market price, reflecting new information or strategic positioning. Monitoring tennis news and trading activity will be key to understanding potential market movements.