TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 1:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luciana Agudelo and Felicitas Simon Padros in the W15 Neuquén, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luciana Agudelo' if Luciana Agudelo advances against Felicitas Simon Padros. This market will resolve to 'Felicitas Simon Padros' if Felicitas Simon Padros advances against Luciana Agudelo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luciana Agudelo and Felicitas Simon Padros in the W15 Neuquén, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luciana Agudelo' if Luciana Agudelo advances against Felicitas Simon Padros. This market will resolve to 'Felicitas Simon Padros' if Felicitas Simon Padros advances against Luciana Agudelo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome, or when new information becomes available. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the potential outcome of the Agudelo vs Simon Padros match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of success. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants trading on Polymarket regarding the Agudelo vs Simon Padros match.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Agudelo vs Simon Padros match as reported by the governing tennis organization. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine the winning share and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand the factors that will determine the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the Agudelo vs Simon Padros match takes place. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert opinions could all cause the odds to change. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also impact trader sentiment. Monitoring tennis news and analysis will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could move this market.